2016 TRAC African Threat Assessment

What does a weakened ISIS means? If we are referring to the loss of territory as the only criteria used to assess ISIS strength and resilience, then the question has relevance. ISIS, however, is more than a political movement/idea; it is also a terror organization and herein lays scenarios for what 2016 could entail.What propaganda material shows us is an ISIS preparing and ready for battlefront warfare, a force trained in armed assaults and use of a variety of weapons.  It tells us how fighters are willing to execute suicide bombings, trained in use of IEDs and fighters inspired by religious convictions. Again ISIS 2016 is not to be found in these obvious openly stated intentions, be it in Syria and Iraq or via Wilayahs.What ISIS does not tell us is its diversification in organised and recruitment cells, its strategies and tactics in enabling inspired and directed organised and single shooter attacks, its use of supply routes to secure movement of foreign fighters and resources,…

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About TRAC’s Core Articles

Commissioned, proprietary analysis of key components of terrorist activities and groups, such as “Recruiting Female Suicide Bombers”, written by experts worldwide.

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About the Contributor

jasmine opperman

Jasmine’s areas of expertise include methodological risk analysis and the management of intelligence processes (operations, counter-intelligence, covert activities and analysis). Jasmine is...

Veryan Khan

Veryan Khan is associate publisher at The Beacham Group, LLC., and Editorial Director of its Terrorism Research & Analysis Consortium (TRAC). An expert in the philosophy and ethics of political...